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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Osei B. In: Houri L.
Out: Osei B.
52'
Psaltis P.
56'
Arabidze G.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Torpedo Kutaisi
35%
Draws
45%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 14%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:1
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:1
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Pires
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Doltmurziev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 35 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Dinamo Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Torpedo Kutaisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Kutaisi VS Dinamo Tbilisi
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 7

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)