Sport Picks

Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia

Dinamo Tbilisi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga encounter between Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Torpedo Kutaisi averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Dinamo Tbilisi shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Torpedo Kutaisi, 1 wins for Dinamo Tbilisi, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.05.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.75 for Dinamo Tbilisi, suggesting the primary value lies in the Torpedo Kutaisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Torpedo Kutaisi

35%

Draws

28%

Dinamo Tbilisi

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Torpedo Kutaisi picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Tbilisi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 12%

Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Torpedo Kutaisi	Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	8	10
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.8	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

24.05.26 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

07.04.26 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

30.11.25 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

27.09.25 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

24.05.25 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Torpedo Kutaisi

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Dinamo Tbilisi

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 36 / 100

Dinamo Tbilisi 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Torpedo Kutaisi Dinamo Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torpedo Kutaisi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Torpedo Kutaisi 41%

Dinamo Tbilisi 22%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Torpedo Kutaisi 35%

Dinamo Tbilisi 29%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Torpedo Kutaisi 37%

Dinamo Tbilisi 28%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Torpedo Kutaisi 39%

Dinamo Tbilisi 27%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Torpedo Kutaisi 33%

Dinamo Tbilisi 31%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Torpedo Kutaisi 43%

Dinamo Tbilisi 32%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torpedo Kutaisi attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Dinamo Tbilisi have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.

Torpedo Kutaisi remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Dinamo Tbilisi suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 40

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iberia 1999	19	10	4	5	27:18	34
2	FC Rustavi	19	9	5	5	22:18	32
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	19	8	7	4	31:21	31
4	Torpedo Kutaisi	19	7	6	6	30:19	27
5	Dinamo Batumi	19	7	6	6	28:30	27
6	Dila Gori	19	8	2	9	21:19	26
7	Samgurali	19	7	4	8	25:32	25
8	Spaeri	19	5	7	7	25:25	22
9	Gagra	19	5	7	7	18:24	22
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	19	1	8	10	13:34	11