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Torpedo Kutaisi vs IBSU Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2009/2010 Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Kutaisi play IBSU Tbilisi in the Pirveli Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torpedo Kutaisi averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. IBSU Tbilisi averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 1, IBSU Tbilisi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2010 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.81 for IBSU Tbilisi. This points to a Torpedo Kutaisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Torpedo Kutaisi
23%
Draws
30%
IBSU Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi picked up more points recently compared to IBSU Tbilisi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 26%
IBSU Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi IBSU Tbilisi
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
IBSU Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:2
Oct 24, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Torpedo Kutaisi vs IBSU Tbilisi
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 48 / 100
IBSU Tbilisi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi IBSU Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torpedo Kutaisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torpedo Kutaisi attacking → ← attacking IBSU Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

IBSU Tbilisi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Torpedo Kutaisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

IBSU Tbilisi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 34
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00