Sport Picks
Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mironov D.
26'
26'
Lanin O.
42'
42'
Pogosov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Torpedo Moscow and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Torpedo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torpedo Moscow | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 15 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Russian Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:1
May 11, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
May 11, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torpedo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kashtanov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Mironov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torpedo Moscow 41 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torpedo Moscow Shinnik Yaroslavl
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Torpedo Moscow scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Torpedo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Shinnik Yaroslavl conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Torpedo Moscow VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Torpedo Moscow
(Home) 10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3 Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
08 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Away) 10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
