Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow host Ulyanovsk in the FNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Torpedo Moscow at 1.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Ulyanovsk at 0.75 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Torpedo Moscow have won 3 to Ulyanovsk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.69) point toward Torpedo Moscow. Torpedo Moscow in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torpedo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Torpedo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
2:3
Jun 25, 2019 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 85 / 100
Ulyanovsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Torpedo Moscow found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS Ulyanovsk
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ufa11003:03
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod11004:23
3S. Kostroma11003:13
4Yenisey11002:13
5Veles Moscow11001:03
6Shinnik Yaroslavl10102:21
7PFC Sochi10102:21
8Torpedo Moscow00000:00
9SKA Khabarovsk00000:00
10Ural00000:00
11Tekstilshtik00000:00
12Chelyabinsk00000:00
13Arsenal Tula00000:00
14Ulyanovsk10011:20
15Neftekhimik10010:10
16R. Volgograd10012:40
17Kamaz10011:30
18Leningradets10010:30