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Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ibragimov K.
22' Event
Yushin A.
26' Event
Yushin A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Torpedo Moscow and Ulyanovsk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Torpedo Moscow
35%
Draws
25%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Torpedo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
3:1
Jun 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Yushin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Galoyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 59 / 100
Ulyanovsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torpedo Moscow scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Torpedo Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS Ulyanovsk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)