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Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Moscow play Yenisey in the FNL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torpedo Moscow averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Yenisey averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Torpedo Moscow won 4, Yenisey won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Torpedo Moscow and 0.88 for Yenisey. This points to a Torpedo Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Torpedo Moscow
17%
Draws
36%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow picked up more points recently compared to Yenisey.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 25%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Yenisey
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevchenko G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Yenisey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 47 / 100
Yenisey 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Yenisey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torpedo Moscow or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torpedo Moscow attacking → ← attacking Yenisey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Yenisey let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Torpedo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Yenisey lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
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18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622