Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

National League South Plainmoor, Torquay
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Moore D.
32' Event
Rogalski D.
55' Event
Barrett J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torquay
35%
Draws
34%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Torquay have won more games recently than Dorking Wanderers.
  • Torquay are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Torquay Clean Sheet 12%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
May 2, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
4:2
Mar 24, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Torquay
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Torquay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torquay Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lo-Everton S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogalski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrett J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 35 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Dorking Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Torquay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Dorking Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 6

Dorking Wanderers

(Away)
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Truro
29 Aug
Walton & Hersham
1 : 4
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)