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Torquay vs Folkestone

England England

National League South Plainmoor, Torquay
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Beaumont-Clark J.
22' Event
Moore D.
48' Event
Smith L.

AI Match Summary

Torquay in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torquay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Torquay
20%
Draws
23%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Folkestone haven't matched Torquay's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Torquay Clean Sheet 16%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Folkestone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Folkestone
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torquay Compare

Top Goalscorer Beaumont-Clark J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moore D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 31 / 100
Folkestone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Torquay scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Folkestone conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Torquay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Folkestone
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1
AFC Stoneham
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
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