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Torquay vs Horsham FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Plainmoor, Torquay
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morgan D.
69' Event
Lo-Everton S.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Torquay and Horsham FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torquay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Torquay
44%
Draws
20%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torquay come out ahead of Horsham FC on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Torquay have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Torquay Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Horsham FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Horsham FC
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Torquay
2:1
Dec 10, 2024 FA Trophy
Torquay vs Horsham FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torquay Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lo-Everton S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Horsham FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 36 / 100
Horsham FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torquay's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Horsham FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Torquay has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Horsham FC
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2
Torquay
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Torquay
09 May
Hornchurch
3 : 2
Torquay
02 May
Torquay
4 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Horsham FC
3 : 0
Eastbourne Town
10 Jul
Horsham FC
3 : 2
Eastleigh
25 Apr
Horsham FC
3 : 2
Chippenham Town
18 Apr
Salisbury
2 : 1
Horsham FC
14 Apr
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)