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Torquay vs Horsham FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bartley R.
Own Goal
54' Event
Luer G.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Torquay and Horsham FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Torquay
20%
Draws
23%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Torquay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torquay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Torquay Clean Sheet 19%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Horsham FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.11 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Horsham FC
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Horsham FC
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Torquay
2:1
Dec 10, 2024 FA Trophy
Torquay vs Horsham FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torquay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Luer G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 85 / 100
Horsham FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torquay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Horsham FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Torquay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Horsham FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
10 Oct
Torquay
5 : 1
Slough Town
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1
AFC Stoneham
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)