Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torre del Mar vs CD Torreperogil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Owusu W.
53' Event
Aviles M.
86' Event
Cano S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Torre del Mar and CD Torreperogil finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Torreperogil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Torre del Mar
15%
Draws
39%
CD Torreperogil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torre del Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Torreperogil haven't matched Torre del Mar's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Torre del Mar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 20%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre del Mar CD Torreperogil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs CD Torreperogil
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Torre del Mar
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs CD Torreperogil
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Torre del Mar
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs CD Torreperogil
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Aviles M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre del Mar 76 / 100
CD Torreperogil 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre del Mar CD Torreperogil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Torreperogil let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Torre del Mar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Torre del Mar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torre del Mar VS CD Torreperogil
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
38% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre del Mar

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

CD Torreperogil

(Away)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)