Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Pekes
56'
56'
Manzano R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Torre del Mar and El Palo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torre del Mar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Torre del Mar come out ahead of El Palo on wins alone.
- Torre del Mar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Torre del Mar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
El Palo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torre del Mar | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.03 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs El Palo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Torre del Mar
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Torre del Mar
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs El Palo
2:1
Sep 27, 2023 Copa Federacion
Torre del Mar vs El Palo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torre del Mar Compare
Top Goalscorer Pekes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52
El Palo Compare
Top Goalscorer Manzano R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torre del Mar 95 / 100
El Palo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torre del Mar El Palo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: El Palo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Torre del Mar scored in 73% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Torre del Mar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Torre del Mar VS El Palo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
38% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Torre del Mar
(Home) 20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 4
El Palo
(Away) 10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
15 Mar
Granada CF B
1 : 0 El Palo
01 Mar
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 El Palo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
