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Torre del Mar vs Maracena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cala
50' Event
Fernandez F.
51' Event
Tome A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Torre del Mar and Maracena finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torre del Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Torre del Mar
35%
Draws
30%
Maracena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Torre del Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torre del Mar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Torre del Mar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Maracena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre del Mar Maracena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Maracena
4:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Maracena
4:1
Oct 22, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Torre del Mar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cala
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Maracena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre del Mar 86 / 100
Maracena 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre del Mar Maracena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torre del Mar found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Maracena has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Torre del Mar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torre del Mar VS Maracena
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre del Mar

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
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Maracena

(Away)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)