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Torre del Mar vs Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
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Match Events

24' Event
Al Azami A.
33' Event
Pato
83' Event
El Manssouri Z.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Torre del Mar and Melilla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Torre del Mar
20%
Draws
47%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Torre del Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Torre del Mar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre del Mar Melilla
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Melilla
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Azami A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Manssouri Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre del Mar 36 / 100
Melilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre del Mar Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torre del Mar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Melilla let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Torre del Mar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torre del Mar VS Melilla
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre del Mar

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
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Melilla

(Away)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Marbelli 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Arenas Armilla 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Almeria B 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 UD San Pedro 3 2 0 1 2:4 6
6 Atletico de Porcuna 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
7 Motril 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Malaga B 3 1 1 1 8:4 4
9 Granada CF B 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
10 Torre del Mar 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 CD Alhaurino 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
12 Atletico de Marbella 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
13 Churriana de la Vega 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Cantoria 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
16 Mancha 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
17 Huetor Vega 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
18 Malaga Juniors 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)