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Torre Fuerte vs 1 de Mayo

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Torre Fuerte host 1 de Mayo in the Copa Simon Bolivar. Little to choose between these two on current form. 1 de Mayo have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Torre Fuerte have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Torre Fuerte have won 1 to 1 de Mayo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 2.06) back Torre Fuerte to edge this. Torre Fuerte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torre Fuerte
40%
Draws
29%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 1 de Mayo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Simon Bolivar increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre Fuerte 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Torre Fuerte
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 1 de Mayo
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre Fuerte 30 / 100
1 de Mayo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre Fuerte 1 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torre Fuerte scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

1 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Torre Fuerte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

1 de Mayo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torre Fuerte VS 1 de Mayo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5