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Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torre Fuerte
39%
Draws
30%
24 de Septiembre
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • 24 de Septiembre haven't matched Torre Fuerte's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Torre Fuerte have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre Fuerte 24 de Septiembre
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
3:0
Jun 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre Fuerte 30 / 100
24 de Septiembre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre Fuerte 24 de Septiembre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 24 de Septiembre conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Torre Fuerte scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Torre Fuerte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torre Fuerte VS 24 de Septiembre
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1