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Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2018 game between Torre Fuerte and Universidad Crucena finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torre Fuerte
6%
Draws
4%
Universidad Crucena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torre Fuerte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Torre Fuerte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Torre Fuerte have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 14%
Universidad Crucena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre Fuerte Universidad Crucena
Matches Played 44 18
Wins 22 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena
2:0
May 14, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Torre Fuerte
0:3
Sep 26, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Sep 8, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Universidad Crucena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre Fuerte 84 / 100
Universidad Crucena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre Fuerte Universidad Crucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad Crucena has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Torre Fuerte found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (44 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Torre Fuerte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torre Fuerte VS Universidad Crucena
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre Fuerte

(Home)
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3
1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2
Nueva Cliza
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Universidad Crucena

(Away)
16 Jul
Universidad Crucena
2 : 2
River 66
02 Jul
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Universidad Crucena
25 Jun
Universidad Crucena
0 : 3
24 de Septiembre
21 Jun
Torre Fuerte
2 : 0
Universidad Crucena
18 Jun
River 66
1 : 2
Universidad Crucena
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Always Ready1292136:1029
2Club Universitario de Vinto1272317:1223
3Em Huanuni1261518:2219
4Fatic1242624:2414
5Sur-Car1242621:2214
6Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo1232714:2811
7Enrique Happ1231818:3010
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gatty Ribeiro De Pado1063119:621
2Mariscal Sucre1061328:1419
3Torre Fuerte1054125:1219
4Universidad Crucena1031617:2310
5CD Kivon1031616:2610
6Libertad Gran Mamore1012711:355
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Industrial Aviles14101329:1631
2Independiente1492335:1929
3Atletico Bermejo1484220:1228
4Petrolero de Yacuiba1480624:1124
5Ferrocarril Palmeiras1454523:2619
6Rosario Central1432914:3711
7Juventud Unida Pocitos1423924:379
8Deportivo Aleman14221028:398
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)