Sport Picks

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Torreense U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ribeiro K.

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiria U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Torreense U19
20%
Draws
20%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torreense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Leiria U19 average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Torreense U19's 1.09.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Torreense U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Torreense U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Leiria U19
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Leiria U19
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Torreense U19
2:0
May 14, 2016 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Mar 12, 2016 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Torreense U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense U19 84 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torreense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense U19 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Leiria U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Leiria U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torreense U19 VS Leiria U19
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 7

Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)