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Torreense vs Amarante FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
08:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torreense host Amarante FC in the Liga Portugal 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Torreense at 1.41 goals for, 0.88 against; Amarante FC at 1.22 for, 0.89 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Torreense. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Torreense
30%
Draws
37%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torreense lately — more wins on the board than Amarante FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Torreense Clean Sheet 20%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Amarante FC
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 32 / 100
Amarante FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Torreense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Amarante FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Away concern: Amarante FC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS Amarante FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
10 Oct
Tondela
1 : 0
Torreense
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
Page 1 of 7

Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Sporting CP B 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
3 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
4 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
10 Portimonense 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
13 FC Porto B 7 2 1 4 6:14 7
14 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
15 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
16 Amarante FC 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
17 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)