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Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Aguirre J.
Assist: Vazquez J.
25'
Aguirre J.
36'
Sub
Zoabi K. In: Drammeh M.
Out: Zoabi K.

AI Match Summary

Torreense in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Torreense
15%
Draws
48%
Ararat-Armenia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia have won more games recently than Torreense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Torreense Clean Sheet 23%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Muradyan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson Valdez B. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 33 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat-Armenia let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Torreense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Torreense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS Ararat-Armenia
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
05 Nov
Torreense
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
31 Oct
Portimonense
0 : 0
Torreense
26 Oct
Torreense
1 : 0
Amarante FC
22 Oct
Ferencvaros
4 : 1
Torreense
15 Oct
Torreense
1 : 2
Sunderland
Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia

(Away)
05 Nov
Torreense
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
01 Nov
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
FC Gandzasar
29 Oct
Olympia Yerevan
1 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
26 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1
Noah
22 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)