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Torreense vs Casa Pia

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Marques
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Guilherme Liberato
35'
Sousa D.
45'
Kaly

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Torreense and Casa Pia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Torreense
39%
Draws
31%
Casa Pia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa Pia haven't matched Torreense's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Torreense Clean Sheet 68%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Casa Pia
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Torreense
2:0
May 20, 2026 Liga Portugal
Torreense vs Casa Pia
0:0
Dec 17, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Casa Pia vs Torreense
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Casa Pia vs Torreense
4:4
Jul 30, 2023 League Cup
Torreense vs Casa Pia
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 41 / 100
Casa Pia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Casa Pia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torreense scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Casa Pia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Torreense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS Casa Pia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Torreense0
Casa Pia2