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Torreense vs Maritimo

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Vazquez J.
45'
Alfaro A.
53'
David Bruno

AI Match Summary

Torreense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Torreense
17%
Draws
13%
Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Maritimo have won more games recently than Torreense.
  • Model gives Torreense a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Torreense Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Maritimo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Maritimo
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Torreense
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Maritimo
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Torreense
0:3
Apr 7, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Maritimo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 77 / 100
Maritimo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torreense scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Maritimo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Torreense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS Maritimo
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0
Torreense
18 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Torreense
15 Jul
Torreense
5 : 0
Academica
28 May
Casa Pia
2 : 0
Torreense
24 May
Sporting CP
1 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

Maritimo

(Away)
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
14 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
AFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)