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Torreense W vs Valadares Gaia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 Estádio do Fontelo, Viseu
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Seppi E.
16'
Sub
Pereira E. In: Alves C.
Out: Pereira E.
22'
Santos D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Torreense W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Torreense W
15%
Draws
24%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torreense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W haven't matched Torreense W's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Torreense W taking it.
  • Torreense W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Torreense W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Torreense W Clean Sheet 20%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 26 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Torreense W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Torreense W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Torreense W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
May 4, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Torreense W vs Valadares Gaia W
3:1
Dec 21, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Torreense W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Konst G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense W 85 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torreense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Torreense W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Valadares Gaia W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Torreense W VS Valadares Gaia W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense W

(Home)
30 Sept
Torreense W
4 : 1
FC Kharkiv W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
23 Sept
FC Kharkiv W
1 : 2
Torreense W
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
Page 1 of 8

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Torreense W 1
SL Benfica W 0
Valadares Gaia W 2
Sporting W 1
Final
Torreense W 1
Valadares Gaia W 0