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Stadium Background

Torremolinos vs Hercules

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ropero U.
46'
Sub
Roldan L. In: Gallego Cea F.
Out: Roldan L.
46' Event
Pito Camacho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Torremolinos
30%
Draws
23%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torremolinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Torremolinos have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 68%
Hercules Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos Hercules
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs Hercules
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Torremolinos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pito Camacho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Ropero U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 41 / 100
Hercules 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torremolinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Torremolinos's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hercules let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Hercules registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS Hercules
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
18 Jul
Granada CF
1 : 1
Torremolinos
11 Jul
Sevilla
1 : 0
Torremolinos
23 May
Antequera
3 : 1
Torremolinos
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
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Hercules

(Away)
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
13 Aug
Hercules
0 : 2
Valencia
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)