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Torremolinos vs Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torremolinos host Murcia in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Murcia have shipped 1.09 goals a game lately, while Torremolinos have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Murcia slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.31, favoring Murcia. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Torremolinos
30%
Draws
54%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Murcia have won more games recently than Torremolinos.
  • Win probability leans Murcia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 10%
Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torremolinos Murcia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Torremolinos vs Murcia
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Torremolinos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torremolinos 18 / 100
Murcia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torremolinos Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torremolinos scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Murcia conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Torremolinos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torremolinos VS Murcia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torremolinos

(Home)
18 Oct
Sant Andreu
2 : 2
Torremolinos
10 Oct
Torremolinos
2 : 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

Murcia

(Away)
18 Oct
Murcia
0 : 0
Zaragoza
11 Oct
Rayo Majadahonda
0 : 1
Murcia
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Zaragoza 8 5 2 1 16:10 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)