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Torrijos vs CD Tarancon Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Corvo Ruiz M.
90'
Ouedraogo Y.
90'
Ouedraogo Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Torrijos and CD Tarancon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torrijos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Torrijos
30%
Draws
27%
CD Tarancon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Tarancon come out ahead of Torrijos on wins alone.
  • Torrijos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torrijos CD Tarancon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Torrijos
0:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Torrijos
2:3
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs CD Tarancon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torrijos Compare

Top Goalscorer Corvo Ruiz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Tarancon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 95 / 100
CD Tarancon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torrijos CD Tarancon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torrijos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Tarancon has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Torrijos scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torrijos VS CD Tarancon
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Torrijos

(Home)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
Page 1 of 6

CD Tarancon

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Torrijos 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
3 Villarrobledo 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
4 Illescas 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Toledo 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 UD Almansa 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
7 Marchamalo 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
8 Villacanas 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
9 Noblejas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
10 CD Tarancon 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 CD Villa 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
12 Socuellamos 4 0 3 1 1:3 3
13 La Solana 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
14 Quintanar del Rey 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
15 Villarrubia 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
16 San Clemente 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
17 CD Guadalajara B 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
18 Huracan de Balazote 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)