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Tortoli vs Lupa Roma Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Tortoli and Lupa Roma finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lupa Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tortoli
15%
Draws
49%
Lupa Roma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lupa Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lupa Roma come out ahead of Tortoli on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 20%
Lupa Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tortoli Lupa Roma
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Lupa Roma
0:2
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Roma vs Tortoli
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tortoli 32 / 100
Lupa Roma 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tortoli Lupa Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupa Roma let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tortoli scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Lupa Roma has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lupa Roma
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tortoli

(Home)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
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Lupa Roma

(Away)
05 May
Lupa Roma
1 : 2
Lanusei Calcio
28 Apr
SFF Atletico (Inactive)
7 : 1
Lupa Roma
18 Apr
Lupa Roma
1 : 2
Avellino
14 Apr
Citta di Anagni
1 : 1
Lupa Roma
07 Apr
Lupa Roma
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)