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TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Alagic A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH game between TOSK Tesanj and NK GOSK Gabela finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK GOSK Gabela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TOSK Tesanj
15%
Draws
37%
NK GOSK Gabela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK GOSK Gabela come out ahead of TOSK Tesanj on wins alone.
  • Model gives TOSK Tesanj a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 68%
NK GOSK Gabela Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj NK GOSK Gabela
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
0:1
May 17, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK GOSK Gabela vs TOSK Tesanj
3:0
May 27, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK GOSK Gabela vs TOSK Tesanj
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK GOSK Gabela
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

NK GOSK Gabela Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 86 / 100
NK GOSK Gabela 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj NK GOSK Gabela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOSK Tesanj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOSK Tesanj scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: TOSK Tesanj remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: NK GOSK Gabela conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS NK GOSK Gabela
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3
TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
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NK GOSK Gabela

(Away)
03 Oct
Travnik
2 : 2
NK GOSK Gabela
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
20 Sept
Posusje
1 : 0
NK GOSK Gabela
12 Sept
Hadzici
0 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
06 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
1 : 0
Gradacac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Posusje 9 7 2 0 14:4 23
2 Travnik 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
3 Stupcanica 9 6 1 2 22:8 19
4 Sloboda Tuzla 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
5 NK GOSK Gabela 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
6 Igman Konjic 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
7 TOSK Tesanj 8 4 0 4 10:10 12
8 Bratstvo Gracanica 9 2 4 3 9:13 10
9 Jedinstvo Bihac 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
10 Banovici 9 2 3 4 10:18 9
11 Gradacac 9 2 2 5 7:8 8
12 Tomislav 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
13 Hadzici 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
14 Kakanj 9 2 1 6 5:13 7
15 Capljina 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
16 NK Vitez 9 1 3 5 6:13 6
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