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Stadium Background

TOSK Tesanj vs Stupcanica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Saran D.
66' Event
Djekic S.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH game between TOSK Tesanj and Stupcanica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOSK Tesanj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TOSK Tesanj
15%
Draws
37%
Stupcanica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stupcanica come out ahead of TOSK Tesanj on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Stupcanica taking it.
  • Regular Prva Liga - FBiH form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 11%
Stupcanica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj Stupcanica
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Stupcanica
2:0
Apr 8, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Stupcanica
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Stupcanica vs TOSK Tesanj
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Stupcanica
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Stupcanica vs TOSK Tesanj
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Saran D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djekic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stupcanica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 27 / 100
Stupcanica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj Stupcanica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stupcanica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TOSK Tesanj scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Stupcanica let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

TOSK Tesanj went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS Stupcanica
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3
TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
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Stupcanica

(Away)
10 Oct
Hadzici
1 : 3
Stupcanica
03 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
Gradacac
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
20 Sept
Stupcanica
4 : 1
Banovici
12 Sept
Tomislav
2 : 1
Stupcanica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Posusje 9 7 2 0 14:4 23
2 Travnik 9 7 1 1 16:7 22
3 Stupcanica 9 6 1 2 22:8 19
4 Sloboda Tuzla 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
5 NK GOSK Gabela 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
6 Igman Konjic 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
7 TOSK Tesanj 8 4 0 4 10:10 12
8 Bratstvo Gracanica 9 2 4 3 9:13 10
9 Jedinstvo Bihac 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
10 Banovici 9 2 3 4 10:18 9
11 Gradacac 9 2 2 5 7:8 8
12 Tomislav 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
13 Hadzici 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
14 Kakanj 9 2 1 6 5:13 7
15 Capljina 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
16 NK Vitez 9 1 3 5 6:13 6
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