Sport Picks
Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 
Match Events
28'
28'
Ruggeri M.
30'
30'
Kolo Muani R.
Assist: Tel M.
47'
47'
Alvarez J.
Assist: Lookman A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Tottenham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid come out ahead of Tottenham on wins alone.
- Model gives Atl. Madrid a 51% chance of winning this.
- Atl. Madrid arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Madrid, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atl. Madrid here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tottenham | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2026 Champions League
Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid
3:2
Mar 10, 2026 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Tottenham
5:2
Jul 29, 2016 International Champions Cup
Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tottenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Kolo Muani R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Simons X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hancko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tottenham 28 / 100
Atl. Madrid 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tottenham Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Tottenham found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Atl. Madrid let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Tottenham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tottenham VS Atl. Madrid
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tottenham
(Home) 15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1 Charlton
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Tottenham
3 : 0 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
