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Toulon vs Bourges 18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Toulon
20%
Draws
22%
Bourges 18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Toulon at 1.26 per game, Bourges 18 at 0.8.
  • Model gives Toulon a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Toulon Clean Sheet 20%
Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Bourges 18
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 14
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.26 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Bourges 18
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 76 / 100
Bourges 18 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Bourges 18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulon found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Toulon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Bourges 18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bourges 18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS Bourges 18
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0
Limonest
06 Nov
Touraine
2 : 0
Toulon
31 Oct
Toulon
0 : 0
Hyeres
17 Oct
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Toulon
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
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Bourges 18

(Away)
11 Nov
Bourges 18
2 : 1
Hyeres
07 Nov
Hauts Lyonnais
2 : 0
Bourges 18
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 0
Bourges 18
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)