Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulon vs Limonest

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Diatta Y.
22' Event
Cateland S.
41' Event
Pellier B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Toulon and Limonest finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Limonest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Toulon
30%
Draws
28%
Limonest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Toulon haven't matched Limonest's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Toulon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%
Limonest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Limonest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Toulon
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Limonest
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diatta Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaled A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Cateland S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pellier B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 68 / 100
Limonest 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Limonest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Toulon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Toulon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Limonest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS Limonest
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
16 May
Toulon
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
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Limonest

(Away)
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 2
Limonest
18 Apr
Limonest
2 : 0
Toulon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)