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Toulon vs Limonest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Toulon Logo

Toulon

1 - 0
FT
Limonest Logo

Limonest

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toulon in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Toulon
35%
Draws
18%
Limonest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Limonest haven't matched Toulon's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Toulon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Limonest have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%
Limonest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Limonest
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Limonest
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Toulon
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Limonest
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 68 / 100
Limonest 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Limonest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Toulon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Toulon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS Limonest
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0
Limonest
06 Nov
Touraine
2 : 0
Toulon
31 Oct
Toulon
0 : 0
Hyeres
17 Oct
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Toulon
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
Page 1 of 7

Limonest

(Away)
11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0
Limonest
06 Nov
Limonest
2 : 2
Andrezieux
31 Oct
Nimes
2 : 2
Limonest
17 Oct
Limonest
1 : 1
Saint Priest
03 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
4 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)