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Toulon vs Troyes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Diallo A.
44'
Diallo A.
45' Event
Payet A.

AI Match Summary

Toulon in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Toulon
15%
Draws
32%
Troyes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulon lately — more wins on the board than Troyes II.
  • Win probability leans Toulon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Toulon Clean Sheet 20%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Troyes II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Troyes II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Payet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Troyes II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 85 / 100
Troyes II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Troyes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toulon scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Troyes II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Toulon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Troyes II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS Troyes II
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
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Troyes II

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
19 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 2
Andrezieux
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1
Saint Priest
29 Aug
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 0
Troyes II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)