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Toulouse II vs Ales Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ntamack A.
74' Event
Betra F.
75' Event
Dabo D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Toulouse II
30%
Draws
58%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ales lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse II.
  • Model gives Ales a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Toulouse II Clean Sheet 10%
Ales Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse II Ales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Toulouse II
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulouse II vs Ales
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntamack A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Betra F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse II 22 / 100
Ales 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse II Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Toulouse II found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ales conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Toulouse II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse II VS Ales
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse II

(Home)
17 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 1
Toulouse II
18 May
Toulouse II
1 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Toulouse II
0 : 4
Jura Sud
19 Apr
Andrezieux
0 : 0
Toulouse II
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)