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Toulouse vs Pau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Toulouse and Pau finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Toulouse
20%
Draws
60%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pau come out ahead of Toulouse on wins alone.
  • Pau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 11%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse Pau
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Pau
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Pau
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Pau
2:2
Jul 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Pau
2:0
Jan 15, 2022 Ligue 2
Toulouse vs Pau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse 22 / 100
Pau 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toulouse scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Pau has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Toulouse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse VS Pau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse

(Home)
01 Nov
Marseille
2 : 0
Toulouse
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
10 Oct
Monaco
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
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Pau

(Away)
30 Oct
Metz
1 : 3
Pau
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
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