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Toulouse vs Real Sociedad Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Vignolo J.
33' Event
Soler C.
45' Event
Hidalgo S.

AI Match Summary

Toulouse in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Toulouse
30%
Draws
41%
Real Sociedad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Sociedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Toulouse have won more games recently than Real Sociedad.
  • Win probability leans Toulouse's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 17%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse Real Sociedad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad vs Toulouse
0:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad vs Toulouse
0:1
Nov 15, 2018 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad
2:2
Jul 25, 2015 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Vignolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hidalgo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Real Sociedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Soler C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse 41 / 100
Real Sociedad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse Real Sociedad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Toulouse scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Toulouse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse VS Real Sociedad
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse

(Home)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
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Real Sociedad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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