Sport Picks
Toulouse vs Strasbourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 1 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse 
AI Match Summary
Toulouse host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Toulouse at 1.3 goals for, 1.67 against; Strasbourg at 1.31 for, 2.1 against. Head-to-head, Toulouse have won 2 to Strasbourg's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.63) point toward Toulouse. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toulouse carry the better recent record into this one.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Toulouse taking it.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toulouse | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strasbourg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Toulouse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Toulouse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toulouse
(Home)Strasbourg
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | 2 |
