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Toulouse W vs Le Havre W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Fofana T.
5' Event
Machart-Rabanne J.
(Penalty)
23'
Solanet T.

AI Match Summary

Le Havre W in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Havre W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Toulouse W
15%
Draws
73%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Havre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulouse W lately — more wins on the board than Le Havre W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 19%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Le Havre W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Le Havre W vs Toulouse W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Le Havre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallais T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 32 / 100
Le Havre W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Le Havre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Havre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Le Havre W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Le Havre W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Le Havre W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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Le Havre W

(Away)
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Le Havre W
0 : 2
Nantes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 3 3 0 0 22:3 9
2 PSG W 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Marseille W 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Paris FC W 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 Montpellier W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
6 Fleury 91 W 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
7 Strasbourg W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Le Havre W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
9 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Lens W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
11 Toulouse W 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
12 Nantes W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)