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Toulouse W vs Le Mans W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Faity C.
86' Event
Bekhti N.

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Toulouse W
20%
Draws
73%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Le Mans W.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 15%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Le Mans W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Toulouse W
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Le Mans W
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Toulouse W
2:0
Jan 9, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Toulouse W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Faity C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekhti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 10 / 100
Le Mans W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Le Mans W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Toulouse W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Le Mans W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)