Sport Picks
Toulouse W vs Marseille W Prediction & H2H Stats
France
Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Marseille W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Toulouse W come out ahead of Marseille W on wins alone.
- Marseille W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Toulouse W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toulouse W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Toulouse W
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
1:3
May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Toulouse W
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
4:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toulouse W 10 / 100
Marseille W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toulouse W Marseille W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Marseille W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Toulouse W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toulouse W VS Marseille W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toulouse W
(Home) 19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2 Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2 Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1 Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0 Toulouse W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0 Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2 Le Havre W
12 Aug
Toulouse W
6 : 0 Albi-Marssac W
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0 Rodez AF W
01 Aug
Toulouse W
1 : 0 Eibar W
24 May
Toulouse W
0 : 2 Le Mans W
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Marseille W
(Away) 26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1 Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0 Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1 Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0 Le Havre W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3 Marseille W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0 Marseille W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3 Marseille W
12 Aug
St Etienne W
0 : 1 Marseille W
08 Aug
Espanyol W
1 : 2 Marseille W
31 Jul
Thonon Evian W
4 : 4 Marseille W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Metz W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Strasbourg W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Auxerre W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Reims W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thonon Evian W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Nice W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 3 | St Etienne W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Grenoble W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Montpellier W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toulouse W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Rodez AF W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Fleury 91 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Le Mans W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Lille W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nantes W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Le Havre W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Saint-Malo W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Guingamp W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
