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Toulouse W vs Paris FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toulouse W host Paris FC W in the Premiere Ligue Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Toulouse W have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Paris FC W's 1.71 scored and 1.55 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.25 - 1.50) back Paris FC W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Toulouse W
20%
Draws
70%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Paris FC W have won more games recently than Toulouse W.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Paris FC W taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 16%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Paris FC W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 19 / 100
Paris FC W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toulouse W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Paris FC W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Toulouse W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paris FC W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Paris FC W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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Paris FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)