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Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Altunkulak S.
60' Event
Lapassouse L.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women game between Toulouse W and Saint-Malo W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulouse W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toulouse W
39%
Draws
30%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toulouse W come out ahead of Saint-Malo W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Toulouse W
2:6
Feb 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Toulouse W
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Altunkulak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lapassouse L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Saint-Malo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 32 / 100
Saint-Malo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Saint-Malo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Toulouse W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Saint-Malo W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Toulouse W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Saint-Malo W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469