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Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toulouse W host Saint-Malo W in the Premiere Ligue Women. Saint-Malo W go into this one as the clear favorite. Toulouse W have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Saint-Malo W's 1.3 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Toulouse W have won 2 to Saint-Malo W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Saint-Malo W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Toulouse W
15%
Draws
73%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Saint-Malo W.
  • Model gives Saint-Malo W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Toulouse W
2:6
Feb 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Toulouse W
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 10 / 100
Saint-Malo W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Toulouse W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Saint-Malo W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Saint-Malo W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Saint-Malo W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)