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Touring KE vs CD Vitoria

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Touring KE Logo

Touring KE

2 - 3
FT
CD Vitoria Logo

CD Vitoria

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Collado U.
34' Event
Carrera G.
44' Event
Hidalgo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Touring KE
15%
Draws
65%
CD Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • CD Vitoria have won more games recently than Touring KE.
  • CD Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Vitoria have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 23%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE CD Vitoria
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 23
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.37 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Touring KE
2:0
Jan 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs CD Vitoria
2:3
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs CD Vitoria
0:2
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Touring KE
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrera G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernal I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Collado U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hidalgo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 24 / 100
CD Vitoria 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE CD Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Touring KE scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

CD Vitoria let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Touring KE went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1
Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 8

CD Vitoria

(Away)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)