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Touring KE vs Padura Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Telletxea E.
79' Event
Llorente A.

AI Match Summary

Padura in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Touring KE
30%
Draws
33%
Padura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Touring KE lately — more wins on the board than Padura.
  • Model gives Touring KE a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 20%
Padura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE Padura
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Padura
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs Touring KE
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs Touring KE
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Padura
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Padura
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Padura Compare

Top Goalscorer Telletxea E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llorente A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 40 / 100
Padura 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE Padura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padura has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Touring KE's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Touring KE remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 7

Padura

(Away)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Padura
30 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 2
Padura
26 Apr
Portugalete
3 : 1
Padura
17 Apr
Padura
1 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)