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Touring KE vs San Ignacio

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Herrojo Hernando E.
41' Event
Amezgaray A.
64' Event
Bernal I.

AI Match Summary

San Ignacio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Ignacio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Touring KE
20%
Draws
63%
San Ignacio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • San Ignacio have won more games recently than Touring KE.
  • San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 11%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE San Ignacio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs San Ignacio
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Touring KE
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Touring KE
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs San Ignacio
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs San Ignacio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrojo Hernando E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amezgaray A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 10 / 100
San Ignacio 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE San Ignacio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Touring KE scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

San Ignacio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Touring KE has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS San Ignacio
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1
Leioa
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
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San Ignacio

(Away)
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3
San Ignacio
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)