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Touring KE vs UD Aretxabaleta Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Fernandez Pacheco A.

AI Match Summary

UD Aretxabaleta in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Aretxabaleta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Touring KE
30%
Draws
37%
UD Aretxabaleta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Touring KE lately — more wins on the board than UD Aretxabaleta.
  • UD Aretxabaleta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 16%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE UD Aretxabaleta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs UD Aretxabaleta
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs UD Aretxabaleta
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Touring KE
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs UD Aretxabaleta
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Touring KE
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

UD Aretxabaleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Pacheco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 28 / 100
UD Aretxabaleta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE UD Aretxabaleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Aretxabaleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Touring KE's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: UD Aretxabaleta conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Touring KE stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS UD Aretxabaleta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

UD Aretxabaleta

(Away)
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
22 Aug
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 0
Mirandes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Derio 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Touring KE 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Pasaia 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
5 Lagun Onak 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
6 Leioa 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
7 SD Erandio 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
8 Real Sociedad C 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Eibar C 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
10 SCD Durango 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
11 UD Aretxabaleta 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
12 Real Union B 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
13 Sodupe 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
14 Alaves C 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
15 Beasain 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
16 Santurtzi 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
17 San Ignacio 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Amurrio Club 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)