Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tours vs Lorient

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025 Stade de la Vallée du Cher, Tours
Sat, Dec 21, 2024
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de France 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Tours at 1.27 goals for, 1.13 against; Lorient at 1.87 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Lorient slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 21, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.23 - 1.24) back Lorient to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tours
15%
Draws
42%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tours

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lorient come out ahead of Tours on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lorient arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lorient, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lorient have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tours Clean Sheet 19%
Lorient Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tours Lorient
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2024 Coupe de France
Tours vs Lorient
0:3
Mar 30, 2018 Ligue 2
Tours vs Lorient
3:1
Oct 28, 2017 Ligue 2
Lorient vs Tours
2:0
Jan 3, 2016 Coupe de France
Lorient vs Tours
3:2
Jan 24, 2009 Coupe de France
Lorient vs Tours
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tours 32 / 100
Lorient 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tours Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Tours's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lorient's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Tours remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorient
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tours

(Home)
21 Dec
Tours
0 : 3
Lorient
30 Nov
Tours
3 : 0
Cesson
16 Nov
Montagnarde
1 : 2
Tours
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
02 Aug
Tours
4 : 3
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Lorient

(Away)
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montagnarde 1
Tours 2
Cesson 3
TA Rennes 2
Fief-Geste 1
Monnaie 3
Ruffiac Malestroit 0
Lorient 2
Ales 4
Beaucairois 2
Cannes 2
Grau-du-Roi 0
Istres 4
Cannet Rocheville 0
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 1
Saint Lo Manche 1
SU Dives 2
AS Dragon 3
Avranches 2
Saint-Pierroise 1
Saint-Denis 4
Etoile Maritime 0
Vertou 3
Agde 2
Romorantin 1
Comtal 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Lempdes 0
Carnoux F.C. 1
Anduze 1
Hauts Lyonnais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
FC PRJ 0
SA Merignac 6
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Merignac 0
Vitre 0
Laval 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Concarneau 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Dinan 2
Serquigny-Nassandres 0
Guingamp 5
Maladrerie 1
Bolbec 2
Chartres 0
Caen 4
Guereins 0
Macon 4
Gueugnon 1
Sochaux 3
Angouleme CFC 2
Rodez 1
Feytiat 0
Clermont 3
FC Hettange Grande 3
Luneville 4
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 2
Calais Beau Marais 3
Paris 15 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Amiens SC 2
Le Touquet 2
Porto Portugais 1
Les Ulis 1
RC Calais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 3
Thouars 0
Bayonne 1
Pau 3
Liancourt Clermont 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Paris FC 1
Quevilly 2
Labourse 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Haubourdin 1
Red Star 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
ASJR Football 0
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Olympique de Valence 1
Arles-Avignon 0
Valence FC 1
Marignane GCB 0
Allobroges Asafia 0
Martigues 5
Raismes 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 5
Lucciana 2
OCPAM 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 1
Illkirch 0
Jeunesse 1
Moulien 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Montferrand 0
Saint-Jean 4
Canet Roussillon 1
Versailles 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
ESB Marboz 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
F.C. Du Foron 1
Troyes 3
Raon L Etape 2
Biesheim 1
Obernai FCSR 0
Metz 3
Bressuire 0
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 2
AC Ajaccio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Niort 0
Orleans 3
Cazaux 0
La Roche Vendee 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Saint-Omer 1
US Noyelles S/Lens 2
JA Drancy 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 2
Alencon 0
Rouen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
US Nousseviller 0
Colmar 3
Blenod 0
Haguenau 1
Houilles 0
Boulogne 3
Beauvais 1
Chantilly 0
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstaing Chereng 0
Aubervilliers 4
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 1
Paimpol 0
Stade Briochin 3
COBSP 1
Saint-Malo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Jura Dolois 0
Football Club de Chaumont 2
GOAL FC 3
Valdahon Vercel 0
Jura Sud 4
Vesoul 1
Annecy 6
Epinal 2
Nancy 4
Freyming 0
Bastia 4
Fontenay 1
ESOF La Roche 2
Samaritaine 1
RC Saint Joseph 2
USC Corte 2
Linas-Montlhery 1
Crepy-en-Valois 0
Diables Noirs 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Avenir Mourenxois 0
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Colomiers 2
Vierzon Foot 3
Vannes 1
Le Mans 2
St. Colomban Locmine 4
Sable 2
Mana 0
Etoile Matoury 3
CA Boulay 0
Thionville 3
Roubaix 4
Neuilly Marne 5
Arras 0
Valenciennes 2
Couzeix-Chaptelat 1
Sauveteurs Brivois 0
Espaly 1
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chambery 2
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Grandvillars 2
Dijon 4
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Tours 3
Cesson 0
Monnaie 0
Lorient 5
Ales 1
Cannes 5
Istres 0
Grenoble 4
SU Dives 6
AS Dragon 1
Saint-Denis 1
Vertou 0
Agde 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 5
TBD -
Montpellier -
Carnoux F.C. 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
SA Merignac 2
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Laval 3
Concarneau 2
Dinan 1
Guingamp 4
Bolbec 0
Caen 6
Macon 0
Sochaux 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Clermont 2
Luneville 0
Thaon 4
Calais Beau Marais 0
Amiens SC 3
Le Touquet 0
RC Calais 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 2
Pau 1
Liancourt Clermont 0
Quevilly 1
FC Bobigny 93 3
Red Star 2
TBD -
Angers -
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Olympique de Valence 0
Valence FC 0
Martigues 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lucciana 0
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 4
Jeunesse 1
TBD -
Reims -
Saint-Jean 2
Versailles 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Cluses Scionzier 0
Troyes 1
Raon L Etape 0
Metz 1
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Orleans 1
La Roche Vendee 2
TBD -
Brest -
US Noyelles S/Lens 0
JA Drancy 3
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 0
Rouen 3
TBD -
Lille -
Colmar 1
Haguenau 2
Boulogne 4
Beauvais 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
Aubervilliers 0
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 1
Saint-Malo 0
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
GOAL FC 2
Jura Sud 0
Annecy 1
Nancy 0
Bastia 2
ESOF La Roche 1
RC Saint Joseph 3
USC Corte 2
Diables Noirs 0
TBD -
Nice -
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Vierzon Foot 0
Le Mans 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
Etoile Matoury 0
Thionville 2
Neuilly Marne 3
Valenciennes 4
Couzeix-Chaptelat 0
Espaly 3
Chambery 0
Dijon 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Tours 0
Lorient 3
Cannes 3
Grenoble 2
SU Dives 2
Saint-Denis 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 4
Montpellier 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Toulouse 1
SA Merignac 0
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
Caen 1
Sochaux 1
Clermont 0
Thaon 2
Amiens SC 1
RC Calais 0
Strasbourg 3
Saint-Philbert 0
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 0
Angers 1
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Martigues 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lyon 2
Mutzig 1
Reims 3
Saint-Jean 1
Monaco 4
Troyes 3
Metz 0
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 4
La Roche Vendee 0
Brest 1
JA Drancy 0
Nantes 4
St Etienne 0
Marseille 4
Rouen 0
Lille 1
Haguenau 4
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 0
Dunkerque 1
Stade Briochin 1
Le Havre 0
GOAL FC 1
Annecy 2
Bastia 5
RC Saint Joseph 0
USC Corte 1
Nice 2
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Le Mans 7
Thionville 2
Valenciennes 3
Espaly 2
Dijon 1
Lens 1
PSG 2
1/16-finals
Lorient 1
Cannes 2
SU Dives 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Toulouse 2
Laval 1
Guingamp 3
Sochaux 2
Thaon 2
Strasbourg 3
Quevilly 2
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Lyon 2
Reims 2
Monaco 1
Troyes 1
Rennes 0
Brest 2
Nantes 1
Marseille 1
Lille 2
Haguenau 1
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 2
Annecy 1
Bastia 0
Nice 1
Le Mans 2
Valenciennes 1
Espaly 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Cannes 5
SU Dives 3
Toulouse 0
Guingamp 2
Strasbourg 1
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Reims 1
Troyes 1
Brest 2
Lille 1
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 2
Nice 1
Le Mans 0
PSG 2
Quarter-finals
Cannes 3
Guingamp 1
Angers 1
Reims 2
Brest 2
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 0
PSG 7
Semi-finals
Cannes 1
Reims 2
Dunkerque 2
PSG 4
Final
Reims 0
PSG 3