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Toyama vs Tochigi City

Japan Japan

J2 League Toyama Stadium, Toyama
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Match Events

16'
Chinen T.
26'
Jung Woo-Young
45'
Takahashi Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Toyama
30%
Draws
19%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toyama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Toyama have won more games recently than Tochigi City.
  • Model gives Tochigi City a 19% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Toyama Clean Sheet 15%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toyama Tochigi City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Toyama vs Tochigi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toyama 23 / 100
Tochigi City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toyama Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tochigi City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toyama scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Toyama stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tochigi City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Tochigi City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toyama VS Tochigi City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toyama

(Home)
26 Sept
Toyama
3 : 3
Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Toyama
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2
Toyama
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Omiya Ardija 8 4 4 0 16:7 16
3 Albirex Niigata 8 5 1 2 11:12 16
4 Shonan Bellmare 8 4 3 1 9:7 15
5 Toyama 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
6 Yokohama FC 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Tokushima 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
8 Montedio Yamagata 8 4 0 4 10:6 12
9 Fujieda MYFC 8 3 3 2 12:9 12
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Tochigi City 8 3 1 4 14:13 10
12 Blaublitz 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
13 Iwata 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
14 Vanraure 8 3 1 4 5:12 10
15 Iwaki 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
16 Oita Trinita 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
17 Sagan Tosu 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
18 Kofu 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
20 Imabari 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
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